◆ Market Correction Risk Scorecard
Daily Edition · Updated wed jun 03 6:00am ET
52
/ 100 · Composite Risk
ELEVATED
▲ +2 7-day ▲ +3 30-day
Today’s Read

Composite risk reads 52 of 100 — elevated, edging up 2 points this week.

Market Internals is the loudest signal at 69 (yellow).

Sentiment & Narrative is the calmest at 41.

None of the four Burry conditions are firing.

The Trajectory

Composite risk over time, against the calm / elevated / stressed regimes. Flags mark the days a signal flipped color.

Overlay markets ↗ indexed to 100 at window start
Steady · 0–40 Elevated · 41–69 Stressed · 70–100

From the Headlines

themes moving risk
Bitcoin’s Inflation-Hedging Promise in Tatters After 36% Plunge bearish macro Bloomberg Markets Top CEOs brace for downturn, warn US economy will worsen in next 6 months bearish recession Breaking Economic News on Fox Business Zscaler tanks 31% for worst day ever on 'prudent' guidance, sales shakeup bearish layoff Earnings Lenovo shares jump nearly 20% on record earnings as AI revenue nearly doubles bullish ai Earnings Dow sets first record high since January bullish macro Economic news - CNNMoney.com

Burry Trigger

0/4 firing

The single most dangerous combination. When all four light, history rhymes.

◇ NVDA revenue decelerating
◇ Mag-4 capex rolling over
◇ Expectations level RED
◇ 10-Year yield above 4.5%

The Six Levels

faint line = composite

Each level rolls its metrics into a 0–100 sub-score (weight is its share of the composite). The faint line on each card is the overall composite, so you can see whether a level is moving with or against the market. Tap a card for the detail.

L1 YELLOW
Expectations vs Reality
48/100
35% weight
L2 YELLOW
AI Cycle Health
63/100
25% weight
L3 YELLOW
Liquidity & Rates
45/100
15% weight
L4 YELLOW
Economic Reality
41/100
10% weight
L5 YELLOW
Market Internals
69/100
10% weight
L6 YELLOW
Sentiment & Narrative
41/100
5% weight

What Changed

last 14 days
  1. 2026-06-03 Level 5 shifted RED → YELLOW level 5 flip
  2. 2026-06-02 Level 2 shifted RED → YELLOW level 2 flip
  3. 2026-06-02 nvda_revenue_yoy shifted YELLOW → GREEN NVDA revenue YoY
  4. 2026-06-02 mag4_combined_capex_yoy shifted STALE → GREEN Mag-4 combined capex YoY
  5. 2026-06-02 vix_term_structure shifted STALE → GREEN VIX9D/VIX3M
  6. 2026-06-02 nvda_revenue_yoy shifted GREEN → YELLOW NVDA revenue YoY
  7. 2026-06-02 capex_to_ocf_meta shifted RED → YELLOW META TTM capex/OCF
  8. 2026-06-02 Level 4 shifted GREEN → YELLOW level 4 flip
  9. 2026-06-02 sp500_above_200dma_pct shifted STALE → GREEN 282/501
  10. 2026-06-02 sector_dispersion shifted STALE → RED SPDR sectors YTD stdev
  11. 2026-06-02 equal_vs_cap_weight_ratio shifted STALE → RED RSP/SPY