Market Correction Risk Scorecard

Liquidity & Rates 45.1 · YELLOW

Level 3 · weight 15%

Metrics

MetricValueZStatusSource
Investment-Grade Credit Spread (OAS)
ICE BofA US Corporate OAS. Lower-frequency stress signal.
0.73 bps -1.26 GREEN FRED:BAMLC0A0CM
High-Yield Credit Spread (OAS)
ICE BofA US High Yield OAS. Credit often cracks before equities.
2.72 bps -1.10 GREEN FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2
10Y Treasury Yield
10-Year Treasury constant maturity nominal yield. Higher rates compete with equities.
4.45 % 0.81 YELLOW FRED:DGS10
Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)
10Y minus 2Y spread. Inversion historically precedes recessions.
42.00 bps -0.73 GREEN FRED:DGS10-DGS2
10Y Real Yield (TIPS)
10-Year TIPS yield. Real cost of capital.
2.07 % 0.65 YELLOW FRED:DFII10