Market Correction Risk Scorecard

AI Cycle Health 63.3 · YELLOW

Level 2 · weight 25%

Metrics

MetricValueZStatusSource
Capex/OCF — MSFT
MSFT capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
0.57 ratio 1.64 RED yfinance:fundamentals
Capex/OCF — GOOGL
GOOGL capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
0.63 ratio 1.60 RED yfinance:fundamentals
Capex/OCF — AMZN
AMZN capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
1.02 ratio 1.32 YELLOW yfinance:fundamentals
Capex/OCF — META
META capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
0.61 ratio 1.31 YELLOW yfinance:fundamentals
Mag-4 Combined Capex YoY
(MSFT+AMZN+GOOGL+META) TTM capex YoY. Deceleration is the danger signal.
80.45 percent -1.06 GREEN yfinance:fundamentals
NVDA Revenue YoY
NVDA reported revenue YoY. Faster growth = healthier AI cycle.
85.23 percent 0.49 GREEN yfinance:fundamentals
NVDA Guidance vs Consensus
NVDA NTM revenue guidance divided by pre-print consensus. Above 1 = beat.
STALE transcripts + GPT + yfinance
AI Monetization Tracker
GPT score of accelerating, revenue-generating AI adoption cited on Mag-7 calls. Higher = healthier.
0.90 index STALE transcripts + GPT
Transcript Optimization Index
Ratio of optimize/efficient/disciplined to expand/invest/build language in calls.
0.67 ratio STALE transcripts + GPT