Market Correction Risk Scorecard

Expectations vs Reality 47.8 · YELLOW

Level 1 · weight 35%

Metrics

MetricValueZStatusSource
Earnings Beat Rate (qtr)
Share of reports beating consensus EPS, by quarter.
1.00 fraction -1.34 GREEN alphavantage:EARNINGS
Avg EPS Surprise %
Mean EPS surprise percentage across reports, by quarter.
4.40 percent 1.04 YELLOW alphavantage:EARNINGS
S&P 500 EPS Revision Breadth
Forward EPS up-revisions divided by down-revisions across the S&P 500, 30-day. Higher = healthier.
1.08 ratio STALE yfinance:eps_revisions (S&P 500)
Guidance Raise/Lower Ratio
Mag-7 guidance raises divided by lowers, trailing 180 days.
2.00 ratio STALE transcripts + GPT
Mag-7 NTM EPS Estimate Δ (90d)
Percent change in aggregate Mag-7 forward EPS estimates over the last 90 days. Rising = healthier.
4.59 percent STALE yfinance:eps_trend